Process Step 7:

Assess Affordability and Risk Potential of Concepts

The objective of this effort is to assess the impact of manpower reductions on system affordability, risk, reliability, performance effectiveness and safety. Manning concepts must be based on assumptions about the workload reducing potential of automating technologies, function simplification, elimination, and consolidation. Evaluation requires the generation of measures of effectiveness (MOE) that can be applied to concepts to assess potential impacts on affordability, risk, reliability, performance, and safety.

HSI MOEs are derived from system requirements, and existing standards, specifications and data such as ASTM-1166. Where top level requirements arise from the Mission Need Statement, ORD, or other documents, which specify performance in terms of operability, maintainability, survivability, etc., then corresponding HSI MOEs will be defined in terms of the time and accuracy of performance of critical personnel tasks. Human response time and error rates will generally drive or affect total system performance. Design MOEs, as opposed to performance MOPs, generally assess the degree to which the HMI design conforms to applicable design criteria arising from standards in the areas of human factors, training, maintainability, safety, habitability, and survivability.

Data from which MOEs and MOPs are quantified are obtained during evaluation, although HSI efforts early in the acquisition process must frequently rely on simulation or on analysis of legacy systems. The equipment used for valid optimized manning evaluation can include static mockups, functional mockups, and rapid prototyping software products. Functional system prototypes can be used to support evaluation. Data used to quantify performance MOEs that assess personnel performance speed and accuracy may be obtained throughout the detailed design and construction process and continue into the deployment phase.